Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -180 MEM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +15 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -4.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.1 (+10.9) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.0 (+12.0) | 142.0 (-9.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.3 (+10.7) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.4 (+10.6) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WICH 71 – 65 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#95) | 4.8 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#136) | 0.64 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#128) | 0.87 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#139) | 0.522 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 40.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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