Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -1200 WICH +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +8 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -15.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-45.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -13.3 (-5.3) | 152.5 (-38.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -12.2 (-4.2) | 152.5 (-38.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -12.4 (-4.4) | 155.0 (-41.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -13.7 (-5.7) | 153.7 (-39.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WICH 71 – 65 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 11-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#46) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#14) | 0.17 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#20) | 0.14 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#3) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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