Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -450 WICH +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -6.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -8.4 (-14.4) | 153.5 (-17.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MEM -8.4 (-14.4) | 152.2 (-16.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MEM -9.0 (-15.0) | 151.3 (-15.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -8.9 (-14.9) | 151.6 (-15.6) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#71) | 1.2 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#57) | -0.11 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#56) | -0.03 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#53) | 0.495 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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