Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -500 WICH +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -9.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -10.1 (-7.1) | 147.2 (+15.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MEM -9.9 (-6.9) | 147.8 (+15.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MEM -11.4 (-8.4) | 146.6 (+16.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -10.5 (-7.5) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WICH 71 – 65 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 11-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#52) | 1.7 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#13) | 0.43 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#26) | 0.40 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#5) | 0.523 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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