Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -2100 TAR +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -12.1 (-5.1) | 140.0 (+11.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -14.3 (-7.3) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.9 (-5.9) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.4 (-5.4) | 139.7 (+11.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UVU 63 – 60 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#83) | -3.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#82) | -0.24 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#87) | -0.16 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#54) | 0.471 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.