Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -2000 TAR +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +25 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -15.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -13.6 (+11.4) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -11.5 (+13.5) | 133.9 (+3.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -11.8 (+13.2) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.7 (+12.3) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UVU 63 – 60 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 10-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#124) | -9.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#103) | -0.94 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#124) | -1.29 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#82) | 0.457 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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