Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -375 DETM +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +6 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -8.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -7.6 (-13.6) | 159.0 (+25.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -7.6 (-13.6) | 157.9 (+26.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -7.1 (-13.1) | 158.0 (+26.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.4 (-12.4) | 159.4 (+24.6) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OAK 65 – 50 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -5.5 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#157) | -0.50 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#171) | -0.78 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#82) | 0.480 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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