Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -2500 DETM +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -21.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -19.4 (-14.4) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -15.9 (-10.9) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -17.9 (-12.9) | 146.4 (-1.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -19.6 (-14.6) | 147.5 (-2.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OAK 65 – 50 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 1-19 |
| Home | 10-3 | 1-11 |
| Away | 9-7 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#126) | -15.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#118) | -4.13 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#136) | -4.81 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#81) | 0.376 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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