Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -1400 DETM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +10 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -11.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+45.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -13.1 (-3.1) | 135.6 (+40.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -9.3 (+0.7) | 132.9 (+43.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -9.2 (+0.8) | 134.3 (+41.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -9.9 (+0.1) | 136.1 (+39.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OAK 65 – 50 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -10.4 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | -1.26 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#200) | -1.83 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#174) | 0.443 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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