This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Horizon League · OU Credit Union O'rena · February 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -13.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money OAK -1400 / DETM +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual OAK +10 176 Won
Massey OAK -11.6 (-1.6) — —
Massey Totals — 130.3 (+45.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OAK -9.9 (+0.1) 136.1 (+39.9) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -13.1 (-3.1) 135.6 (+40.4) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -9.3 (+0.7) 132.9 (+43.1) 83% ✓
Baseline ML OAK -9.2 (+0.8) 134.3 (+41.7) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 DETM 95 – 89 OAK
Jan 24, 2026 OAK 95 – 87 DETM
Jan 18, 2025 OAK 65 – 59 DETM
Mar 2, 2024 OAK 75 – 70 DETM
Nov 30, 2023 OAK 65 – 50 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK DETM
Overall 16-18 8-24
Conference 11-9 4-16
Home 9-4 6-7
Away 6-11 2-15
Neutral 1-3 0-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 70.5 66.3
Avg Pts Against 72.2 76.6
Massey -1.9 (#195) -10.4 (#325)
Bradley-Terry -0.34 (#203) -1.26 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.39 (#200) -1.83 (#302)
RPI 0.503 (#174) 0.443 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK DETM
FG% 42.4% 40.1%
3PT% 29.7% 33.2%
REB / G 34.4 37.4
OREB / G 12.4 11.8
AST / TO 1.00 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 44.6%
TOV% 18.3% 18.8%
ORB% 35.2% 31.7%
FT Rate 18.9% 21.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 16.2%
DRB% 65.9% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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