Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +260 OAK -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +15 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -9.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -8.7 (-6.3) | 141.6 (-26.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -9.9 (-5.1) | 144.1 (-29.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -11.6 (-3.4) | 145.0 (-30.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -11.0 (-4.0) | 143.0 (-28.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-31 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 15-5 |
| Home | 1-11 | 10-3 |
| Away | 0-20 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#327) | 6.8 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#328) | 1.27 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#316) | 1.62 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#267) | 0.625 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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