Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +230 OAK -285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +8 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -6.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.1 (-2.9) | 162.4 (+19.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.7 (-2.3) | 161.6 (+20.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.2 (-1.8) | 161.9 (+20.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.5 (-2.5) | 160.8 (+21.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OAK 65 – 50 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#280) | 2.6 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#259) | 0.53 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#259) | 0.37 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.557 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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