Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +340 OAK -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -5.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.6 (-0.4) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -8.0 (+2.0) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.7 (-0.3) | 132.4 (-8.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -5.3 (-0.7) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OAK 65 – 50 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#326) | -1.2 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#270) | -0.24 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#302) | -0.18 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.511 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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