Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +110 PFW -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +6 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -1.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -1.7 (-4.3) | 158.0 (+10.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -1.0 (-5.0) | 155.6 (+12.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -0.5 (-5.5) | 158.7 (+9.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -1.5 (-4.5) | 160.4 (+7.6) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | PFW 83 – 78 IUIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PFW 91 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 12, 2024 | PFW 78 – 76 IUIN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | PFW 92 – 65 IUIN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | IUIN 85 – 79 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#313) | -5.7 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#337) | -0.30 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#326) | -0.77 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#353) | 0.482 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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