Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -535 NAU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +31 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -10.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -10.4 (+20.6) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.5 (+21.5) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -11.7 (+19.3) | 145.0 (+0.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -10.0 (+21.0) | 146.7 (-1.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NAU 78 – 71 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-13 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#181) | -8.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#227) | -1.54 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#208) | -1.81 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#240) | 0.407 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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