Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | NAU +350 EWU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -8.2 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -6.1 (+13.1) | 151.1 (-2.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -6.9 (+13.9) | 147.8 (+1.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.5 (+13.5) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.4 (+13.4) | 152.4 (-3.4) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-12 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#316) | 2.2 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#227) | 0.81 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#256) | 0.77 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#219) | 0.539 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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