Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -175 SF +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -4.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -5.3 (-16.3) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.7 (-13.7) | 139.3 (-6.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -4.8 (-15.8) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -5.1 (-16.1) | 140.2 (-7.2) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SF 87 – 82 PAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SF 71 – 58 PAC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SF 89 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SF 79 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SF 92 – 88 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | 2.4 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#127) | 0.34 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#117) | 0.58 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#123) | 0.497 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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