Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SF -8000 PAC +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SF -28.4 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -22.4 (-16.4) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -20.0 (-14.0) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -20.2 (-14.2) | 141.4 (+10.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -22.5 (-16.5) | 143.1 (+8.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SF 72 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SF 87 – 82 PAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SF 71 – 58 PAC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SF 89 – 81 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SF 92 – 88 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 0-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-12 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 81.4 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#62) | -15.6 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#83) | -2.10 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#88) | -2.80 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#101) | 0.393 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 26.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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