Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GB -118 YSU -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GB -1.4 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -2.4 (+19.6) | 141.8 (+6.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -0.1 (+21.9) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -2.5 (+19.5) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -1.6 (+20.4) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
| Feb 10, 2024 | GB 84 – 83 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#222) | -2.0 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#179) | -0.76 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#201) | -0.77 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.454 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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