Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -355 GB +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -5.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -3.1 (+3.9) | 140.7 (+28.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -4.9 (+2.1) | 139.4 (+29.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.1 (+3.9) | 140.2 (+28.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -3.2 (+3.8) | 140.7 (+28.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
| Feb 10, 2024 | GB 84 – 83 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#204) | -4.5 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#268) | 0.13 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#258) | -0.06 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#298) | 0.526 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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