Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -800 GB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +1 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -9.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.9 (-8.9) | 138.2 (+28.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -10.4 (-11.4) | 141.7 (+25.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.3 (-9.3) | 139.4 (+27.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -7.5 (-8.5) | 139.4 (+27.6) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#105) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#136) | 0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#137) | -0.16 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#125) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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