Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | GB +270 YSU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -5.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.3 (+3.3) | 145.4 (-3.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.3 (+2.3) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.7 (+1.7) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.1 (+2.1) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
| Feb 10, 2024 | GB 84 – 83 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#331) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#341) | -0.25 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#330) | -0.39 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#333) | 0.472 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 4.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 15.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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