Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | COR -470 BRWN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +6 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | COR -9.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -9.3 (-3.3) | 153.1 (+12.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -8.5 (-2.5) | 150.9 (+15.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -8.9 (-2.9) | 150.9 (+15.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -11.0 (-5.0) | 153.0 (+13.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | COR 89 – 67 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | BRWN 83 – 82 COR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 78 – 74 COR |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COR 84 – 83 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#163) | -6.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#207) | -1.64 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#209) | -2.06 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#150) | 0.423 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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