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Brown Bears
81 – 85
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Pizzitola Sports Center · February 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -0.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money BRWN -115 / COR -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual COR +4 166 Lost
Massey BRWN -0.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 156.0 (+10.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BRWN -2.4 (-6.4) 152.3 (+13.7) 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -1.1 (-2.9) 150.6 (+15.4) 49% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -1.6 (-5.6) 149.7 (+16.3) 57% ✗
Baseline ML BRWN -1.8 (-5.8) 152.0 (+14.0) 57% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 COR 86 – 80 BRWN
Jan 19, 2026 COR 89 – 67 BRWN
Jan 20, 2025 BRWN 83 – 82 COR
Feb 24, 2024 BRWN 78 – 74 COR
Jan 20, 2024 COR 84 – 83 BRWN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN COR
Overall 14-13 18-11
Conference 6-8 9-5
Home 8-6 9-5
Away 6-7 8-5
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 83.4
Avg Pts Against 72.2 78.7
Massey -3.5 (#223) -0.3 (#164)
Bradley-Terry -0.34 (#203) -0.04 (#167)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#204) -0.00 (#165)
RPI 0.497 (#183) 0.514 (#153)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN COR
FG% 45.0% 49.2%
3PT% 35.5% 35.6%
REB / G 35.3 33.2
OREB / G 10.1 7.9
AST / TO 1.19 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 57.6%
TOV% 17.6% 18.1%
ORB% 29.3% 24.9%
FT Rate 18.9% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 15.9%
DRB% 69.4% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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