Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | COR -380 BRWN +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -9.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -9.5 (-10.5) | 149.9 (+15.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -8.9 (-9.9) | 152.1 (+12.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -8.1 (-9.1) | 150.2 (+14.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -7.9 (-8.9) | 151.0 (+14.0) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COR 86 – 80 BRWN |
| Jan 19, 2026 | COR 89 – 67 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 78 – 74 COR |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COR 84 – 83 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#124) | -3.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#134) | -0.46 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#145) | -0.80 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#120) | 0.477 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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