I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Cornell Big Red
82 83
FINAL Conference
Brown Bears
Ivy League · Newman Arena · January 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COR -8.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money COR -380 / BRWN +290
Model Predictions
Spread Total COR win
Actual BRWN +1 165 Lost
Massey COR -9.7 (-10.7)
Massey Totals 156.7 (+8.3)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 88%
Efficiency Plus ML COR -8.9 (-9.9) 152.1 (+12.9) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML COR -8.1 (-9.1) 150.2 (+14.8) 81%
Baseline ML COR -7.9 (-8.9) 151.0 (+14.0) 80%
Baseline Plus ML COR -9.5 (-10.5) 149.9 (+15.1) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 COR 8680 BRWN
Jan 19, 2026 COR 8967 BRWN
Feb 22, 2025 COR 8581 BRWN
Feb 24, 2024 BRWN 7874 COR
Jan 20, 2024 COR 8483 BRWN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COR BRWN
Overall 18-11 14-13
Conference 9-5 6-8
Home 9-5 8-6
Away 8-5 6-7
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 83.4 71.2
Avg Pts Against 78.7 72.2
Massey 2.4 (#124) -3.8 (#225)
Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#134) -0.46 (#219)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#145) -0.80 (#232)
RPI 0.532 (#120) 0.477 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors COR BRWN
FG% 50.1% 43.8%
3PT% 36.2% 34.1%
REB / G 33.3 36.2
OREB / G 8.2 11.4
AST / TO 1.41 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.7% 51.0%
TOV% 17.7% 19.5%
ORB% 25.6% 32.3%
FT Rate 22.4% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 15.7%
DRB% 69.3% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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