Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +120 COR -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +22 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -0.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -1.3 (-23.3) | 155.5 (+0.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -1.3 (-20.7) | 157.9 (-1.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -1.4 (-23.4) | 159.0 (-3.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.9 (-22.9) | 158.0 (-2.0) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COR 86 – 80 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | BRWN 83 – 82 COR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 78 – 74 COR |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COR 84 – 83 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#254) | -2.6 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#302) | -0.99 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#299) | -1.29 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#304) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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