Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | COR -700 BRWN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -13.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -12.1 (-16.1) | 152.9 (-0.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.2 (-14.2) | 151.6 (+0.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -12.0 (-16.0) | 150.1 (+1.9) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -12.5 (-16.5) | 151.1 (+0.9) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COR 86 – 80 BRWN |
| Jan 19, 2026 | COR 89 – 67 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | BRWN 83 – 82 COR |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COR 84 – 83 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#98) | -4.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#47) | -1.26 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#47) | -1.30 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#33) | 0.447 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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