In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Brown Bears
83 – 84
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Pizzitola Sports Center · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread COR -5.5 Home covered
O/U 158.5 Over
Money BRWN +230 / COR -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual COR +1 167 Lost
Massey COR -6.7 (+5.7) — —
Massey Totals — 157.8 (+9.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 8% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 7% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -6.4 (+5.4) 151.7 (+15.3) 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -5.3 (+4.3) 154.0 (+13.0) 32% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -6.1 (+5.1) 151.9 (+15.1) 25% ✓
Baseline ML COR -6.2 (+5.2) 152.4 (+14.6) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 COR 86 – 80 BRWN
Jan 19, 2026 COR 89 – 67 BRWN
Feb 22, 2025 COR 85 – 81 BRWN
Jan 20, 2025 BRWN 83 – 82 COR
Feb 24, 2024 BRWN 78 – 74 COR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN COR
Overall 13-18 22-8
Conference 8-6 11-3
Home 5-7 10-1
Away 6-8 10-6
Neutral 2-3 2-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.7 80.4
Avg Pts Against 72.5 75.2
Massey -5.0 (#262) 5.5 (#95)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#300) 1.73 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.46 (#285) 1.87 (#72)
RPI 0.424 (#300) 0.579 (#56)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN COR
FG% 41.3% 49.5%
3PT% 31.4% 33.7%
REB / G 38.1 34.9
OREB / G 12.3 9.3
AST / TO 0.88 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 57.4%
TOV% 19.4% 18.4%
ORB% 31.9% 28.2%
FT Rate 22.1% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 19.8%
DRB% 73.8% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 17.8%

Game Analysis

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