The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Sun Belt Conference · GSU Convocation Center · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money GAST -105 / ODU -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total GAST win
Actual ODU +8 154 Lost
Massey ODU -0.9 (-7.1) — —
Massey Totals — 146.4 (+7.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -0.1 (-7.9) 142.7 (+11.3) 49% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ODU -0.1 (-7.9) 145.4 (+8.6) 48% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ODU -0.3 (-7.7) 146.6 (+7.4) 51% ✗
Baseline ML ODU -0.7 (-7.3) 144.4 (+9.6) 48% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 ODU 78 – 55 GAST
Feb 23, 2025 GAST 76 – 70 ODU
Feb 14, 2025 GAST 97 – 75 ODU
Feb 18, 2024 GAST 68 – 65 ODU
Jan 12, 2024 GAST 77 – 70 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GAST ODU
Overall 10-22 12-21
Conference 7-11 7-11
Home 7-7 7-6
Away 3-12 4-14
Neutral 0-3 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 75.7
Avg Pts Against 75.4 78.7
Massey -8.9 (#301) -5.1 (#245)
Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#284) -1.03 (#261)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.66 (#283) -1.32 (#260)
RPI 0.427 (#319) 0.462 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors GAST ODU
FG% 37.3% 43.7%
3PT% 31.1% 34.7%
REB / G 34.4 34.4
OREB / G 10.5 9.5
AST / TO 1.00 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.0% 50.0%
TOV% 16.1% 15.4%
ORB% 27.6% 26.1%
FT Rate 28.8% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 14.9%
DRB% 66.4% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 29.9%

Game Analysis

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