Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -185 GAST +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -4.8 (+18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -2.6 (+20.4) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -4.2 (+18.8) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.0 (+19.0) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.0 (+19.0) | 146.2 (-13.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ODU 81 – 73 GAST |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GAST 76 – 70 ODU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GAST 97 – 75 ODU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GAST 68 – 65 ODU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | GAST 77 – 70 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#259) | -7.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#270) | -1.24 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#276) | -1.48 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#241) | 0.434 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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