Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -140 GAST +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -0.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -0.2 (-5.8) | 149.4 (-3.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -0.6 (-6.6) | 151.2 (-5.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -0.0 (-6.0) | 151.7 (-5.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -0.3 (-5.7) | 152.1 (-6.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ODU 81 – 73 GAST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ODU 78 – 55 GAST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GAST 97 – 75 ODU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GAST 68 – 65 ODU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | GAST 77 – 70 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#312) | -6.7 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#285) | -0.91 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#279) | -1.30 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#301) | 0.459 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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