Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -150 ODU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +22 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -4.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -3.4 (+18.6) | 148.4 (+23.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -3.9 (+18.1) | 145.6 (+26.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -3.9 (+18.1) | 146.5 (+25.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -3.9 (+18.1) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ODU 81 – 73 GAST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ODU 78 – 55 GAST |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GAST 76 – 70 ODU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GAST 68 – 65 ODU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | GAST 77 – 70 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#280) | -9.0 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#272) | -1.02 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#284) | -1.30 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#264) | 0.440 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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