Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +110 GAST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | GAST -1.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -0.3 (-2.7) | 148.2 (-15.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -1.0 (-4.0) | 145.5 (-12.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -1.3 (-1.7) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -1.2 (-1.8) | 144.8 (-11.8) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ODU 81 – 73 GAST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ODU 78 – 55 GAST |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GAST 76 – 70 ODU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GAST 97 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | GAST 77 – 70 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#276) | -1.8 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#321) | -0.67 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#304) | -0.73 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#328) | 0.475 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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