Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -148 USD +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -3.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -2.5 (+10.5) | 147.3 (+13.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -2.5 (+10.5) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -2.7 (+10.3) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -2.6 (+10.4) | 146.5 (+14.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | USD 85 – 81 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#224) | -4.4 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#209) | -0.88 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#203) | -0.95 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#245) | 0.438 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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