Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -188 USD +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +4 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -0.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -0.6 (-4.6) | 151.7 (+14.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -0.1 (-3.9) | 148.7 (+17.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -0.4 (-4.4) | 149.8 (+16.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -0.3 (-4.3) | 151.2 (+14.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#310) | -5.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#271) | -0.44 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#265) | -0.59 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#262) | 0.471 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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