Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -145 USD +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +10 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -1.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -1.0 (+9.0) | 147.3 (+26.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -0.3 (+9.7) | 149.2 (+24.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.8 (+8.2) | 145.6 (+28.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -0.6 (+9.4) | 146.3 (+27.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | USD 85 – 81 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-27 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-13 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#319) | -8.0 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#311) | -2.28 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#315) | -2.44 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#276) | 0.407 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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