Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | USD -250 PORT +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | USD -9.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -6.9 (-1.9) | 153.3 (-16.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -5.5 (-0.5) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -8.0 (-3.0) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -7.3 (-2.3) | 152.9 (-15.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Jan 24, 2024 | USD 85 – 81 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#237) | -9.3 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -1.02 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#164) | -1.17 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#173) | 0.452 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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