Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | USD -130 PORT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | USD -1.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -1.0 (+12.0) | 152.0 (-23.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -0.6 (+12.4) | 149.8 (-20.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -1.2 (+11.8) | 149.8 (-20.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -0.9 (+12.1) | 151.3 (-22.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | USD 85 – 81 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#225) | -2.1 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#232) | 0.05 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#228) | 0.06 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#267) | 0.492 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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