Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -850 CIT +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +3 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -13.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -11.8 (-14.8) | 144.1 (+38.9) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -12.8 (-15.8) | 143.3 (+39.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -12.9 (-15.9) | 146.1 (+36.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -11.3 (-14.3) | 144.7 (+38.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WOF 72 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#235) | -15.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#195) | -2.23 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#225) | -2.97 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#198) | 0.392 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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