Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +700 WOF -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -13.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -12.4 (+9.4) | 137.5 (+7.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -12.4 (+9.4) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -12.4 (+9.4) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -12.8 (+9.8) | 139.3 (+5.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WOF 72 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-12 | 7-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L24 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#358) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#361) | 0.03 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.30 (#360) | 0.24 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#361) | 0.519 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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