Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -225 CIT +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -4.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -4.7 (+8.3) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.1 (+7.9) | 140.7 (+0.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.6 (+8.4) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.9 (+9.1) | 141.8 (-0.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WOF 72 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#206) | -3.8 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#168) | -1.15 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#186) | -1.23 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#163) | 0.436 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.