Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +400 WOF -535 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +9 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -7.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -9.1 (+0.1) | 135.4 (+45.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -9.6 (+0.6) | 135.8 (+45.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -9.0 (-0.0) | 134.7 (+46.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -10.1 (+1.1) | 134.9 (+46.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WOF 72 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#351) | -3.7 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.28 (#364) | 0.08 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.75 (#362) | -0.33 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.344 (#359) | 0.496 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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