Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +110 WOF +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -3.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -1.9 (-2.9) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.0 (-1.0) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -2.4 (-3.4) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -2.0 (-3.0) | 145.8 (-2.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#198) | -1.2 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#237) | -0.11 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#227) | -0.44 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#235) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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