Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -1800 CIT +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -20.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -14.4 (-3.4) | 135.5 (+11.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -15.1 (-4.1) | 134.8 (+12.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -15.6 (-4.6) | 132.7 (+14.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -15.5 (-4.5) | 135.4 (+11.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WOF 72 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 0-18 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-12 |
| Away | 8-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L24 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#128) | -15.0 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -3.84 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#127) | -4.30 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#109) | 0.359 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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