Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -122 LAM +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -0.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -0.0 (+12.0) | 137.1 (-5.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.8 (+12.8) | 134.5 (-2.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -0.4 (+11.6) | 135.9 (-3.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -0.3 (+11.7) | 137.2 (-5.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
| Jan 9, 2024 | LAM 75 – 59 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 7-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#259) | -2.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#308) | -1.26 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#307) | -1.22 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#309) | 0.436 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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