Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +188 LAM -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -5.6 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -5.0 (+14.0) | 154.5 (-11.5) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.0 (+13.0) | 152.6 (-9.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.6 (+14.6) | 152.0 (-9.0) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.9 (+13.9) | 153.5 (-10.5) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Jan 9, 2024 | LAM 75 – 59 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#333) | -2.6 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#332) | -0.85 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#341) | -0.80 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#350) | 0.451 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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