Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | LAM -305 UIW +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -9.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -6.9 (+9.1) | 155.8 (-21.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -6.7 (+9.3) | 156.1 (-22.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -6.3 (+9.7) | 154.6 (-20.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -6.6 (+9.4) | 155.1 (-21.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#240) | -8.8 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#280) | -1.88 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#263) | -2.94 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#309) | 0.391 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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