Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -130 LAM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -0.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -0.6 (+12.6) | 132.5 (+1.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -1.4 (+13.4) | 131.8 (+2.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.1 (+12.1) | 131.1 (+2.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.5 (+12.5) | 132.5 (+1.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
| Jan 9, 2024 | LAM 75 – 59 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#245) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#295) | -0.01 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#279) | -0.01 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#298) | 0.522 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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