Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -155 UIW +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -5.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -3.7 (+10.3) | 135.2 (-5.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -5.0 (+9.0) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -4.0 (+10.0) | 135.0 (-5.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -3.9 (+10.1) | 135.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
| Jan 9, 2024 | LAM 75 – 59 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#179) | -2.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#203) | -0.61 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#191) | -0.48 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#199) | 0.454 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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