Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -122 UIW +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +12 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -0.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.9 (+11.1) | 136.5 (-22.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -0.4 (+12.4) | 136.9 (-22.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -0.1 (+12.1) | 137.8 (-23.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -0.1 (+12.1) | 137.5 (-23.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
| Jan 9, 2024 | LAM 75 – 59 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 7-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#224) | 0.3 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#270) | -0.67 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#260) | -0.72 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#305) | 0.452 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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