Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -258 ALA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -2.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.4 (-6.4) | 166.3 (-26.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.4 (-6.4) | 173.6 (-33.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.9 (-4.9) | 162.6 (-22.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -3.9 (-5.9) | 162.4 (-22.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | TENN 79 – 73 ALA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TENN 79 – 76 ALA |
| Mar 3, 2024 | TENN 81 – 74 ALA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TENN 91 – 71 ALA |
| Feb 16, 2023 | TENN 68 – 59 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 91.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 82.7 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#18) | 19.8 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#22) | 3.28 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.95 (#20) | 4.15 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#27) | 0.641 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 45.1% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.